Netflix Explodes Higher After Smashing Subscriber Expectations, Will Burn Up To $4BN In 2018

For the third consecutive quarter, Netflix stock is spiking after reporting earnings, a repeat of what it did last quarter and the quarter before, up as much as 8% after hours, and reaching its all time high price of $334 per share and just shy of all time highs after reporting Q1 2018 numbers which while coming line with with expectations on revenue ($3.701Bn, Exp. $3.69Bn), and non-GAAP EPS (Adj. EPS $0.64, exp. $0.64), were far more remarkable once again for for the latest beat in the subscriber numbers, which again smashed expectations especially on the international streaming side, as follows:



  • Q1 total net streaming additions 7.41MM, Exp. 6.43 MM


    • Q1 domestic net streaming additions 1.96MM; Wall Street exp. 1.45MM, guidance 1.45MM

    • Q1 international net streaming additions 5.46MM, Wall Street exp. 4.98MM, guidance 4.90MM






Meanwhile, Netflix' Q2 2018 outlook also blew out expectations, with the company now expecting Q2 net streaming adds of 6.2 million (1.2 MM in the US and 5.00 MM internationally) well above the consensus estimate of 4.83 million, although this will come at a cost: Netflix still expect to burn between $3 and $4 billion in cash in 2018.

NFLX also expects $3.934 billion in Q1 revenue, also above the consensus estimate of $3.80 billion, generating EPS of 63 cents, just below the Wall Street  consensus of 65 cents.

And while investors are focusing on the impressive subscriber adds, one thing investors will surely focus on is the company's content spend for next year: having previously said they would spend $7 billion, they are raising that by as much as a $500 million on the low end forecasting that "we’ll spend $7.5-8 billion on content on a P&L basis in 2018." The good news: this is the same as the range unveiled last quarter, so it won't come as too big of a surprise.

Also, it will come as no surprise that with Wall Street expecting the company to spend $8.7 billion this year on content...

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... it will continue spending an ungodly amount. Netflix now has 117.6 million subscribers worldwide, but the success has come at a steep price and as of Sept.30, NFLX's total content obligations were a record $17 billion.


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