Ideas & Strategies

The Little Bullish Indicator Nobody is Reporting On

Tunnel vision is a luxury investors can’t afford. Yet, bullish signals from a well-known investor survey have been ignored for too long. Angry messages on comment boards also confirm a bullish message that shouldn’t be ignored.


Allow me to point out a bullish indicator that’s being flat out ignored by the media and investors: Investor sentiment.


The chart below plots the percentage of bullish investors surveyed by the American Association for Individual Investors (AAII) against the S&P 500...

NYSE Composite Chart is Sending Strong Message

Although not nearly as popular as the S&P 500 or Dow Jones, the NYSE Composite sports one of the most transparent technical pictures we’ve seen in quite a while. Here’s a closer look at the strong message of the NYSE Composite.


The NYSE Composite Index is not often discussed, but as one of the broadest U.S. indexes (1,868 components) it offers a unique big picture perspective, especially right now.


First off is a weekly log scale bar chart of the NYSE Composite since its March 2009 low along with some basic support/resistance levels and trend lines...

Obvious Yet Hidden – The Long-Awaited S&P 500 Correction Already Happened

A lot can happen when you’re not looking, but a lot can happen even when you are looking. While everyone’s been waiting for the illusive correction, the S&P 500 ‘Richter scale’ actually shows the correction has come and gone.


If you define correction as a 10% drop, the S&P 500 hasn’t had one in well over 1,000 days.


This is the longest correction-free streak since the 1,127-day run from July 1984 to August 1987...

Extolling The Virtues Of QQQ

David Fabian: A new 14-year high in the NASDAQ-100 Index is certainly something to celebrate for investors that have ridden the ups and downs of these growth stocks since the start of the 21st century. Veteran traders will remember the exuberant sentiment that pushed the top NASDAQ index to...

VIX Seasonality Sports Brief Bearish Window

The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, has been following its general seasonal pattern rather closely, especially since the seasonal VIX low in July. Within a larger seasonally bullish period, there is a brief bearish window that may draw the VIX lower.


VIX seasonality has been an indicator worth watching.


The VIX seasonality chart projected a major seasonal low on July 9...

S&P 500 is Suffering From Most Unique Conundrum Ever! 3 Charts Why

The S&P 500 is not only stuck in a trading range. It’s also stuck in a conundrum of historical proportions. Analysis paralysis suffered by a variety of investors has rarely widespread. Why and what does it mean?
The S&P 500 is incapacitated by a sentiment tug of war.
Every trading day...